Joining the Mad Hatter's Tea Party
The insurance industry is shifting from one portfolio of risk events that it has identified and managed profitably for thousands of years to a new, and significantly different portfolio of risk events: a plethora of cyber risk events that the insurance industry erroneously believes it can successfully identify and manage profitably. Specifically, the insurance industry… Continue reading The Cyber Medium is the Message
I believe that the future financial viability of selling cyber insurance will be bleak at best and, more than likely, unprofitable. That is my driving assumption about future sales of cyber insurance. When is that "future" going to arrive? Thank you, July 2024 CrowdStrike cyber incident (not a cyber-attack, I know) for giving the world… Continue reading Future Financial Viability of Selling Cyber Insurance: Assumptions; Questions; No Answers
Too many people throw around the term "Black Swan" willy-nilly (a technical phrase for 'far too quickly without justification'). Systemic cyber events will become the norm. These systemic cyber events will all be "white swans". I suggest that most cyber attacks are systemic cyber attacks, but currently not with the reach of the CrowdStrike cyber… Continue reading The “Every Day-ness” of Black Swans in the Cyber Age
I have worked for insurance carriers (in marketing / market research areas) for almost 20 years beginning in the mid-1960s, been a management consultant (operational, strategy, and product development gigs) to the insurance industry for almost 10 years, and been an insurance industry analyst since 1997 (focused on the ways current and emerging technologies do… Continue reading Two Cyber Issues: Insurability & Financial Returns of selling cyber cover
I'm hypothesizing that when insurers and insurance groups fund startup cyber MGAs or startup cyber insurers they are behaving like VCs hoping to generate desired returns from (some of) their investments. But are they really behaving like VCs - do these insurers (using cyber MGAs) have a plan regarding how much to invest, or a… Continue reading Regarding Cyber Risk Funding
"Alice asked the Cheshire Cat, who was sitting in a tree, “What road do I take?” The cat asked, “Where do you want to go?” “I don't know,” Alice answered. “Then,” said the cat, “it really doesn't matter, does it?" Alice's Adventures in Wonderland, Lewis Carroll November 1865 The insurance industry is being quickly surrounded… Continue reading Total Insurable Space of Profitable Underwriting Shrinking??? (Thought Piece)
Cyber past losses + Cyber IBNR + Cyber potential future losses =A. Vibrant cyber insurance marketplace now and in the future?B. Sign for insurers to stop selling cyber insurance now, if not sooner?C. Sign that insurers need to craft strategies to sell lower amounts of cyber insurance to some markets? All markets?D. Sign that insurers… Continue reading A Cyber Equation
My wife is from Kansas City, Missouri. Some of you (most of you?) might know that Missouri is the "Show Me" State (they have to see something to believe it). Throughout almost the entirety of my insurance career after I left working for marketing departments in a few insurers (across all major lines of business… Continue reading Past Experience Insuring Risks Won’t Help Insure Risks Of Our Emerging Cyber-Forming World
Does your enterprise have a cyber risk profile? Is it continually updated? Is is 'a real-time profile?" (Does your enterprise know what a cyber risk profile is or why it might be necessary?) If yes to any of those questions, do you believe your enterprise cyber risk profile encompasses every, or at least most, of… Continue reading A Proposed Enterprise Cyber Risk Profile Framework [First Cut]
I believe that there are many unknowns in the Cyber Age. You can flash back to the 2X2 of "known-knowns", "known-unknowns", "unknown-knowns" and "unknown-unknowns" but I want to keep it somewhat straightforward. That's why I show the illustrative visualization below. It's my attempt of showing a relatively straight-forward visualization, a 2-dimensional visualization at that, of… Continue reading Cyber Predictions: You Don’t Know…
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